Outlook

On 5 February 2008, KPN announced the next phase in the evolution of its strategic agenda: ‘Back to Growth’, setting objectives for the next three years to 2010. As with the launch of ‘Attack-Defend-Exploit’ in 2005, the ‘Back to Growth’ strategy follows an extensive strategic review and has been devised to address the challenges of today’s telecoms markets. KPN has set new strategic priorities in order to return to growth in the coming years. With this ‘Back to Growth’ strategy, KPN will remain a top performer among European telecom operators and will continue to be a front-runner in the sector in identifying the market challenges and setting strategic benchmarks accordingly.

Growth will be the result of the Netherlands reaching inflection, continued growth at Mobile International and additional growth from recent acquisitions, as will be achieved with Getronics and iBasis. Growth is set to be achieved in the face of regulatory tariff reductions and the impact of shrinking traditional wireline services in the Netherlands. Key components of the strategy are the ramping up of new services launched in recent years and cost reductions.

In the period to 2010 the Netherlands business will undergo a radical transformation. The All-IP network announced in March 2005 will move into its final phase with the implementation of a new access network. In addition, KPN will pursue a radical simplification of its business, both at the front-end in retail segments and at the backend in network operations. The significant cost reductions that will be generated by this simplification will be used firstly for re-investment in revenue growth, leading to an acceleration of recent growth initiatives, such as broadband and TV in Consumer and IP-based services in Business. Secondly, cost reductions will lead to margins improving.

The strategic objective for Mobile International is to continue the profitable growth path that was initiated through its successful challenger strategy. KPN will continue to pursue additional value-creating opportunities in wireless services throughout Europe, such as the recent entry into the Spanish market.

The ‘Back to Growth’ strategy is reflected in the Outlook 2010 as shown in the table below.

Guidance metric Reported 2009 Outlook 2010
Revenues and other income EUR 13.5bn In line with 2009
EBITDA EUR 5.2bn > EUR 5.5bn
Capex EUR 1.8bn < EUR 2bn
Free cash flow EUR 2.4bn > EUR 2.4bn
Dividend per share (DPS) EUR 0.69 EUR 0.80
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